Importance Sampling for Pathwise Sensitivity of Stochastic Chaotic Systems

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper proposes a new pathwise sensitivity estimator for chaotic SDEs. By introducing spring term between the original and perturbated SDEs, we derive by importance sampling. The variance of increases only linearly in time $T,$ compared with exponential increase standard estimator. We compare our Malliavin extend both them to Multilevel Monte Carlo method, which further improves computational efficiency. Finally, also consider using this SDE small volatility approximate sensitivities invariant measure ODEs. Furthermore, Richardson-Romberg extrapolation on parameter gives more accurate efficient Numerical experiments support analysis.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Hybrid pathwise sensitivity methods for discrete stochastic models of chemical reaction systems.

Stochastic models are often used to help understand the behavior of intracellular biochemical processes. The most common such models are continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Parametric sensitivities, which are derivatives of expectations of model output quantities with respect to model parameters, are useful in this setting for a variety of applications. In this paper, we introduce a class of...

متن کامل

Importance Sampling for Stochastic Timed Automata

We present an importance sampling framework that combines symbolic analysis and simulation to estimate the probability of rare reachability properties in stochastic timed automata. By means of symbolic exploration, our framework first identifies states that cannot reach the goal. A state-wise change of measure is then applied on-thefly during simulations, ensuring that dead ends are never reach...

متن کامل

Stochastic Optimization with Importance Sampling

Uniform sampling of training data has been commonly used in traditional stochastic optimization algorithms such as Proximal Stochastic Gradient Descent (prox-SGD) and Proximal Stochastic Dual Coordinate Ascent (prox-SDCA). Although uniform sampling can guarantee that the sampled stochastic quantity is an unbiased estimate of the corresponding true quantity, the resulting estimator may have a ra...

متن کامل

Pathwise Construction of Stochastic Integrals

We propose a method to construct the stochastic integral simultaneously under a non-dominated family of probability measures. Pathby-path, and without referring to a probability measure, we construct a sequence of Lebesgue-Stieltjes integrals whose medial limit coincides with the usual stochastic integral under essentially any probability measure such that the integrator is a semimartingale. Th...

متن کامل

Stochastic Models of Chaotic Systems

Nonlinear dynamical systems, although strictly deterministic, often exhibit chaotic . behavior which appears to be random. The determination of the probabilistic prop ertics of such systems is, in general, an open problem. Closure approximations for moment expansion methods have been unsatisfactory. More successful has been approximation on the dynamics level by the use of linear stochastic mod...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2166-2525']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1137/20m1352454